MEK Iran: Negotiations Deadlock
In an article criticizing the regime’s nuclear negotiations, regarding the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Hossein Shariatmadari, managing editor of Iran’s Kayhan daily, the main mouthpiece of the regime’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei, expressed frustration:
With the U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA
“With the U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA and Europe’s failure to live up to its commitments, the JCPOA does not exist and has become a stinking corpse, and if we want to go back to it in such a situation, we won’t get anything,” On October 11, Kayhan daily wrote.
At the same time, some of the regime’s media and elements try to hide the regime’s weakness by talking about storing low-enriched uranium to the limit allowed by the JCPOA and creating 20% uranium to have a significant bargaining advantage in the negotiations.
“We need to accelerate the advancement of nuclear energy and manifest its effects on people’s lives and show the manifestations of national authority influenced by nuclear energy,” said Mohammad Esmi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Ebrahim Raisi’s government, as per State-TV Channel One, on October 9.
These statements are made while the regime’s new government begs for the negotiations to resume.
“We said the other parties that our intentions were serious and that we were a man of negotiation and a man of action, and that the new Iranian government is pragmatic and from negotiations which its outcome would be a cup of coffee, our people would not benefit. If Mr. Biden is serious, release $10bn of our money,” according to the State-TV Channel One, on October 3.
Internal crisis, which reflects the regime’s bad status
This internal crisis, which reflects the regime’s bad status, is very clearly expressed by the state-run website Khabar Fori, which quotes a regime journalist:
“Since the signing of the JCPOA, several principlists have insisted that the agreement is against the interests of the Islamic Republic in every way, and in return, Rouhani’s administration executives and reformist supporters have emphasized that it serves the interests of the system in every way.
“So now these principlists should answer, why didn’t they rid themselves of this poison when Donald Trump signed the order to withdraw the United States from the JCPOA?
“Maybe they say that the government of Hassan Rouhani and his foreign minister did not allow, all right! But now that there is neither a sign of Rouhani’s government nor from his foreign minister, why don’t they take this agreement off their agenda once and for all explicitly?
As bad as the JCPOA is it has only two solutions!
“As bad as the JCPOA is it has only two solutions! Formally canceling it to say goodbye to negotiations and to continue the nuclear program as much as possible or to cancel it to renegotiate negotiations to reach a new agreement that is desirable in all respects,” State-run website Khahar Fori reported October 11.
Following the establishment of the new US administration, it was anticipated that the US government would soon return to the JCPOA, and even the regime’s government had a hazy expectation that the US government will indeed accept the 2015 JCPOA without raising new demands, which did not happen, and the new US administration is now pursuing another JCPOA in which the regime must take from a new poison chalice.
The JCPOA and declare its withdrawal from it
The impasse means that the mullahs’ rule, on the one hand, cannot completely disregard the JCPOA and declare its withdrawal from it, as this would have dangerous consequences, including the possibility of the regime’s case being brought before the UN Security Council, with severe consequences, and, on the other hand, accepting the conditions of the Western parties negotiating, particularly the US, to revive the 2015 JCPOA would mean withdrawing, which Khamenei believes would be ‘endless degradation’.
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